Basconia vs Compostela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Artunduaga, Basauri
The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Compostela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basconia vs Compostela?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Basconia (1,962) and Compostela (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basconia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Compostela have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Compostela | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basconia vs Compostela?
- The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Compostela.
- Where and when is Basconia vs Compostela played?
- Basconia vs Compostela is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 11, 2027AmorebietavsGernika
- Apr 11, 2027Real Oviedo IIvsMarino de Luanco
- Apr 11, 2027Deportivo Alavés IIvsPortugalete
- Apr 11, 2027LlaneravsSestao River
- Apr 11, 2027Racing Santander IIvsOurense CF
- Apr 11, 2027Real Madrid IIIvsBergantiños
- Apr 11, 2027Eibar IIvsCoruxo