Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Arosa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnástica Torrelavega wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Arosa?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,938) and Arosa (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Arosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Not enough data to predict the Gimnástica Torrelavega lineup.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Torrelavega have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arosa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Torrelavega score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Arosa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnástica Torrelavega sit 16th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 6 matches) and Arosa sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Arosa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Arosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Arosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Arosa played?
- Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Arosa is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Malecón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.