Racing Santander II vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Albericia, Santander
The Footlab model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander II vs Ourense CF?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Racing Santander II (1,947) and Ourense CF (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander II have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ourense CF have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Racing Santander II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ourense CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Ourense CF 3-0 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Racing Santander II 1-1 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Racing Santander II 1-2 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Ourense CF 1-2 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ourense CF vs Racing Santander II on Jan 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander II score 2.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander II | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Ourense CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Racing Santander II | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63 | 50 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander II vs Ourense CF?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ourense CF.
- Where and when is Racing Santander II vs Ourense CF played?
- Racing Santander II vs Ourense CF is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Albericia, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.