Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (2,083 vs 1,928).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amorebieta
Not enough data to predict the Amorebieta lineup.
UD Logroñés
4-3-3- 21Ismael Santana
- 23M. A. Ramirez Carrasco
- 11Marcos Baselga
- 14David Navarro
- 20Anai Morales
- 17L. Issman
- 3Sergio Camacho
- 5A. Alvarez
- 4Eduardo Cabetas
- 15Manu Pedreño
- 13Fermín Sobrón
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 05:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 5-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Amorebieta wins, 2 draws, 1 UD Logroñés win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | UD Logroñés 4-1 Amorebieta | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Amorebieta 2-1 UD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Amorebieta 1-0 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | UD Logroñés 1-1 Amorebieta | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Amorebieta 1-1 UD Logroñés | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Amorebieta 1-0 UD Logroñés | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Amorebieta on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amorebieta score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| UD Logroñés | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Amorebieta.
- Where and when is Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés played?
- Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.