Angers vs Lille: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
The Footlab model makes Lille the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Angers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angers vs Lille?
Lille starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,095 vs 1,904).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angers have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lille have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Everton(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Angers win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Lille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Angers 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lille 1-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Angers 0-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Lille 2-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Angers 1-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Lille 1-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Angers score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Lille | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angers sit 13th in Ligue 1 (36 points from 34 matches) and Lille sit 3rd (61 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 37 | 61 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 48 | 36 |
Who is out?
3 reported absence(s) for this match.
- H. BelkeblaAngersOut(Thigh Injury)
- B. AndréLilleOut(Yellow Cards)
- M. Fernandez-PardoLilleOut(Yellow Cards)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angers vs Lille?
- The Footlab model makes Lille the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Angers.
- Where and when is Angers vs Lille played?
- Angers vs Lille is played on August 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Raymond-Kopa, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.