Angers vs Lorient: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
The Footlab model makes Lorient the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Angers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angers vs Lorient?
Lorient starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (2,009 vs 1,902).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angers have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lorient have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nice(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Elversberg(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UNFP(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Angers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lorient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Angers 2-1 Lorient | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Lorient 2-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Angers 2-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Angers 1-0 Lorient | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Lorient 2-1 Angers | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Lorient 0-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Angers score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Lorient | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angers sit 16th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Lorient sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Angers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angers vs Lorient?
- The Footlab model makes Lorient the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Angers.
- Where and when is Angers vs Lorient played?
- Angers vs Lorient is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Raymond-Kopa, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.