APR vs JSK: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
The Footlab model makes APR the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for JSK. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APR vs JSK?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate APR (1,880) and JSK (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APR have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; JSK have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(away) | 3-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 24, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-5 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 27, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Maniema Union(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | TP Mazembe(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Vita Club(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
APR score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; JSK score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| JSK | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APR vs JSK?
- The Footlab model makes APR the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for JSK.
- Where and when is APR vs JSK played?
- APR vs JSK is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kigali Pelé Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.