Bembibre vs Villaralbo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre
The Footlab AI model makes Bembibre the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Villaralbo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bembibre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bembibre vs Villaralbo?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Bembibre (1,698) and Villaralbo (1,715).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bembibre vs Villaralbo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Villaralbo
Not enough data to predict the Villaralbo lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Villaralbo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bembibre wins, 1 draw, 2 Villaralbo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bembibre 1-0 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Villaralbo 0-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2025 | Villaralbo 4-0 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bembibre 1-1 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bembibre 0-3 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Villaralbo 0-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Villaralbo on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Villaralbo score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Villaralbo | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bembibre sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 7 matches) and Villaralbo sit 13th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bembibre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 13 | Villaralbo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Bembibre vs Villaralbo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Villaralbo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bembibre the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Villaralbo.
- Where and when is Bembibre vs Villaralbo played?
- Bembibre vs Villaralbo is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027GuijuelovsUnionistas II
- Mar 7, 2027AlmazánvsUD Santa Marta
- Mar 7, 2027Cristo AtléticovsColegios Diocesanos
- Mar 7, 2027Mirandés IIvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Mar 7, 2027Salamanca IIvsBurgos Promesas
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético MansillésvsArandina
- Mar 7, 2027TuréganovsPalencia CF
- Mar 7, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsCultural Leonesa II