Where and when is Bembibre vs Villaralbo played?

Bembibre vs Villaralbo is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bembibre vs Villaralbo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre

Bembibre

Villaralbo

The Footlab model makes Bembibre the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Villaralbo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bembibre vs Villaralbo?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Bembibre (1,657) and Villaralbo (1,729).

Bembibre win40 %

Draw29 %

Villaralbo win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Villaralbo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bembibre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Arandina(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Villaralbo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bembibre win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Villaralbo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Bembibre 1-0 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 18, 2025	Villaralbo 0-1 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2025	Villaralbo 4-0 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 21, 2024	Bembibre 1-1 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 18, 2024	Bembibre 0-3 Villaralbo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 30, 2023	Villaralbo 0-1 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Bembibre vs Villaralbo on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bembibre	1.3	1.6	5	9/15	8/15
Villaralbo	1.1	1.2	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bembibre sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (34 points from 34 matches) and Villaralbo sit 11th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Villaralbo	34	11	9	14	29	37	42
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38	52	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Villaralbo?: The Footlab model makes Bembibre the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Villaralbo.
Where and when is Bembibre vs Villaralbo played?: Bembibre vs Villaralbo is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.