Atlético Mansillés vs Arandina: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Mansillés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Arandina?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,787) and Arandina (1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Mansillés vs Arandina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Mansillés
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mansillés lineup.
Arandina
Not enough data to predict the Arandina lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Arandina have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turégano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Atlético Mansillés wins, 3 draws, 2 Arandina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arandina 2-2 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 1-1 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Arandina 0-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Atlético Mansillés 0-2 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Arandina 1-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Atlético Mansillés on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Mansillés score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arandina score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mansillés | 1.2 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Arandina | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Mansillés sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (12 points from 8 matches) and Arandina sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atlético Mansillés | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Arandina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Atlético Mansillés vs Arandina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Arandina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Arandina.
- Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Arandina played?
- Atlético Mansillés vs Arandina is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027GuijuelovsUnionistas II
- Mar 7, 2027AlmazánvsUD Santa Marta
- Mar 7, 2027BembibrevsVillaralbo
- Mar 7, 2027Cristo AtléticovsColegios Diocesanos
- Mar 7, 2027Mirandés IIvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Mar 7, 2027Salamanca IIvsBurgos Promesas
- Mar 7, 2027TuréganovsPalencia CF
- Mar 7, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsCultural Leonesa II