Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Arda, Kardzhali
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Arda Kardzhali. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Sofia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia?
CSKA Sofia starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1- 10S. Kovachev
- 80L. Kotev
- 39A. Vutov
- 8D. Yankov
- 4David Akintola Idowu
- 26B. Akandzha
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 5V. Lyubenov
- 1A. Gospodinov
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arda Kardzhali have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arda Kardzhali win, 1 draw, 4 CSKA Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 4-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 3-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| May 31, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-1 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali | Cup |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 2-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arda Kardzhali score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arda Kardzhali sit 6th in First League (17 points from 11 matches) and CSKA Sofia sit 2nd (27 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
A question about Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Arda Kardzhali.
- Where and when is Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia played?
- Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Arda, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.