Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Ludogorets is a heavy favourite: 1,968 Elo points against 1,627, a 341-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1- 29F. Herard
- 5Y. Baurenski
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8B. Penchev
- 33G. Ivanov
- 13K. Önaşçı
- 4M. Hristov
- 26V. Ozornwafor
- 15P. Gospodinov
- 3Sebastian Wade
- 12V. Ivanov
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 14P. Stanić
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 18I. Chochev
- 17Son
- 42S. Shishkov
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 2J. Andersson
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ludogorets have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Septemvri Sofia win, 1 draw, 4 Ludogorets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets 2-1 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 1-3 Ludogorets | Cup |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 0-2 Ludogorets | First League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ludogorets 5-0 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Ludogorets 0-0 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia on Sep 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ludogorets | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia sit 13th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Ludogorets sit 3rd (26 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets played?
- Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.