Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Botev Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1,794) and Botev Plovdiv (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Botev Plovdiv have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Botev Plovdiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| May 3, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 0-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Botev Plovdiv | Cup |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 2-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 12th in First League (3 points from 6 matches) and Botev Plovdiv sit 6th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Botev Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv played?
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.