Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Varna
The Footlab AI model makes Slavia Sofia the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Spartak Varna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Slavia Sofia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Spartak Varna (1,690) and Slavia Sofia (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1- 11Boubacar Hanne
- 19S. Major
- 6José Ricardo Gomes Sousa
- 17T. Marinov
- 82Tomás Silva
- 7Buá
- 76David Valverde
- 44A. Granchov
- 4B. Ivanov
- 45J. Tshitoku
- 23P. Iliev
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1- 77E. Stoev
- 95V. Miletić
- 73I. Minchev
- 10V. Nikolov
- 11M. Dosso
- 27Umaro Baldé
- 87D. Ferraresso
- 4N. Savić
- 71K. Stoyanov
- 5David Malembana
- 99I. Andonov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Varna have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Spartak Varna win, 2 draws, 3 Slavia Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 0-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| May 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna 2-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 4-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Spartak Varna 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Spartak Varna 1-3 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 3-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Varna score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Slavia Sofia | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Varna sit 7th in First League (13 points from 11 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 8th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Slavia Sofia the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Spartak Varna.
- Where and when is Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia played?
- Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.