Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Arda, Kardzhali
The Footlab model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse?
Arda Kardzhali starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arda Kardzhali have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dunav Ruse have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Arda Kardzhali win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dunav Ruse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunav Ruse 0-2 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Dunav Ruse 1-2 Arda Kardzhali | Cup |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Jun 6, 2020 | Dunav Ruse 0-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arda Kardzhali score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arda Kardzhali sit 5th in First League (13 points from 6 matches) and Dunav Ruse sit 13th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse?
- The Footlab model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse played?
- Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Arda, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.