Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Arda, Kardzhali
The Footlab AI model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,153 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse?
On Elo ratings, Arda Kardzhali has 1,830 points and Dunav Ruse 1,730.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1- 91S. Ivanov
- 80L. Kotev
- 39A. Vutov
- 8D. Yankov
- 26B. Akandzha
- 10S. Kovachev
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 35D. Velkovski
- 1A. Gospodinov
Dunav Ruse
4-2-3-1- 9Álex Valiño
- 14R. Apostolov
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
- 10K. Boychev
- 17N. Fonkeu
- 44V. Vidaković
- 88D. Todorov
- 39Andre Alves
- 2M. Dilchovski
- 3B. Chorbadzhiyski
- 33G. Kitanov
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 05:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arda Kardzhali have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dunav Ruse have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Arda Kardzhali wins, 1 draw, 2 Dunav Ruse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunav Ruse 0-2 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Dunav Ruse 1-2 Arda Kardzhali | Cup |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Jun 6, 2020 | Dunav Ruse 0-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arda Kardzhali score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dunav Ruse score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Dunav Ruse | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arda Kardzhali sit 6th in First League (21 points from 14 matches) and Dunav Ruse sit 10th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
A question about Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse played?
- Arda Kardzhali vs Dunav Ruse is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Arda, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.