Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Dunav Ruse (1,731) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dunav Ruse win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Dunav Ruse 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Cup |
| Dec 9, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 0-3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Aug 19, 2019 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Mar 29, 2019 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 13th in First League (3 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 12th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
- The Footlab model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv played?
- Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.