CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,318 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
CSKA Sofia is a heavy favourite: 1,944 Elo points against 1,627, a 317-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1- 29F. Herard
- 5Y. Baurenski
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8B. Penchev
- 33G. Ivanov
- 13K. Önaşçı
- 4M. Hristov
- 26V. Ozornwafor
- 15P. Gospodinov
- 3Sebastian Wade
- 12V. Ivanov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 04:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Septemvri Sofia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 CSKA Sofia wins, 0 draws, 2 Septemvri Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia 0-3 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia 2-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 4-0 Septemvri Sofia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 13, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 3-1 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 0-1 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | CSKA Sofia 0-1 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia sit 2nd in First League (27 points from 11 matches) and Septemvri Sofia sit 13th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia played?
- CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.