Match

CD Coria vs UD Ourense: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Isla, Coria

CD CoriaUD Ourense

The Footlab AI model makes CD Coria the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for UD Ourense. The most likely score is 1-1. If CD Coria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CD Coria vs UD Ourense?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate CD Coria (1,930) and UD Ourense (1,944).

48%27%25%
CD Coria winDrawUD Ourense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CD Coria vs UD Ourense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CD Coria

4-3-3
  1. 17Álex Blanco
  2. 9P. Palacin
  3. 7Iván Ramos
  1. 18J. Gallastegi
  2. 8Edu Llorente
  3. 10S. Gomez
  1. 3Jacobo Guzmán
  2. 23A. Dominguez
  3. 22B. Núñez
  4. 20Iñaki León
  1. 1Aarón Rodríguez

UD Ourense

4-3-3
  1. 10David Ferreiro
  2. 17Xabi Dominguez
  3. 11Sergi Baldrich
  1. 14R. Martinez
  2. 22D. Tejon
  3. 16Álvaro Bastida
  1. 4J. Labrada
  2. 3Julio Cabrera
  3. 5L. Fernandez
  4. 2Varo
  1. 1Manuel Vizoso

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:03 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Coria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; UD Ourense have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Athletic Club II(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Zamora(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Avilés(away)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Real Unión(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Cacereño(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UD Ourense score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CD Coria1.51.558/158/15
UD Ourense1.01.156/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CD Coria sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 8 matches) and UD Ourense sit 19th (5 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17CD Coria822412168
19UD Ourense81253135

A question about CD Coria vs UD Ourense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CD Coria vs UD Ourense?
The Footlab AI model makes CD Coria the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for UD Ourense.
Where and when is CD Coria vs UD Ourense played?
CD Coria vs UD Ourense is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Isla, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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