Arenas Getxo vs Unionistas de Salamanca: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo
The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Arenas Getxo (1,900) and Unionistas de Salamanca (1,936).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Unionistas de Salamanca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Arenas Getxo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unionistas de Salamanca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca 2-0 Arenas Getxo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Arenas Getxo 2-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Unionistas de Salamanca 1-2 Arenas Getxo | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Unionistas de Salamanca vs Arenas Getxo on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas de Salamanca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Getxo | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Unionistas de Salamanca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenas Getxo sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 38 matches) and Unionistas de Salamanca sit 8th (56 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 55 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
- The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Arenas Getxo.
- Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Unionistas de Salamanca played?
- Arenas Getxo vs Unionistas de Salamanca is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.