UD Logroñés vs Real Unión: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Real Unión. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Real Unión?
On Elo ratings, UD Logroñés has 2,047 points and Real Unión 1,951.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD Logroñés vs Real Unión
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD Logroñés
4-3-3- 21Ismael Santana
- 11Marcos Baselga
- 19I. Asenjo
- 14David Navarro
- 20Anai Morales
- 6Mario Maroto
- 3Sergio Camacho
- 5A. Alvarez
- 4Eduardo Cabetas
- 22Carlos García-Die
- 13Fermín Sobrón
Real Unión
4-3-3- 20Ander Martín
- 7Unai García
- 11Aitor Galarza Altuna
- 23Sangalli
- 6B. Gaubeka
- 22Juan de la Mata
- 2Javi Fontán
- 4Jordi Pola
- 8P. Alvarez
- 3Álvaro Mateo
- 1Jon Tena
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Real Unión have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 5-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UD Logroñés wins, 3 draws, 0 Real Unión wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | UD Logroñés 4-0 Real Unión | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Real Unión 1-1 UD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | UD Logroñés 2-2 Real Unión | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 16, 2023 | UD Logroñés 1-0 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Real Unión 0-3 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Real Unión 1-1 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Real Unión on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Unión | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD Logroñés sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 6 matches) and Real Unión sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 10 | Real Unión | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
A question about UD Logroñés vs Real Unión?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Real Unión?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Real Unión.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Real Unión played?
- UD Logroñés vs Real Unión is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026LugovsBarakaldo
- Dec 20, 2026Cultural LeonesavsReal Avilés
- Dec 20, 2026PonferradinavsAthletic Club II
- Dec 20, 2026CacereñovsCD Coria
- Dec 20, 2026PontevedravsMirandes
- Dec 20, 2026Racing FerrolvsZamora
- Dec 20, 2026Arenas GetxovsUnionistas de Salamanca
- Dec 20, 2026UD OurensevsDeportivo La Coruña II