UD Logroñés vs Real Unión: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Real Unión. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Real Unión?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate UD Logroñés (2,042) and Real Unión (1,973).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Real Unión have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PAU(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Alfaro(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UD Logroñés win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Real Unión win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | UD Logroñés 4-0 Real Unión | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Real Unión 1-1 UD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | UD Logroñés 2-2 Real Unión | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 16, 2023 | UD Logroñés 1-0 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Real Unión 0-3 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Real Unión 1-1 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Real Unión on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.0 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Unión | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Real Unión?
- The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Real Unión.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Real Unión played?
- UD Logroñés vs Real Unión is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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