Match

Racing Ferrol vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol

Racing FerrolZamora

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Zamora?

Zamora starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,832).

Racing Ferrol win31 %
Draw30 %
Zamora win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Zamora have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Racing Ferrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 13, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)2-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Osasuna II(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026Arenas Getxo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Racing Ferrol win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Zamora win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Zamora 1-0 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 16, 2025Racing Ferrol 1-0 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 15, 2022Racing Ferrol 1-3 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2021Zamora 0-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 31, 2021Zamora 1-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 1, 2020Racing Ferrol 2-2 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Racing Ferrol on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Racing Ferrol1.01.549/157/15
Zamora1.41.166/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Racing Ferrol sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (49 points from 38 matches) and Zamora sit 3rd (61 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261
12Racing Ferrol38131015414749

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Zamora?
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Racing Ferrol.
Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Zamora played?
Racing Ferrol vs Zamora is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Racing Ferrol and Zamora

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