Cacereño vs CD Coria: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres
The Footlab model makes Cacereño the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for CD Coria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cacereño vs CD Coria?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Cacereño (1,921) and CD Coria (1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; CD Coria have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gévora(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cacereño win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 CD Coria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Cacereño 3-0 CD Coria | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CD Coria 1-1 Cacereño | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 30, 2023 | CD Coria 0-1 Cacereño | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Cacereño 2-0 CD Coria | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 13, 2022 | CD Coria 1-3 Cacereño | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Cacereño 1-1 CD Coria | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CD Coria score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacereño | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| CD Coria | 1.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cacereño | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42 | 49 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs CD Coria?
- The Footlab model makes Cacereño the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for CD Coria.
- Where and when is Cacereño vs CD Coria played?
- Cacereño vs CD Coria is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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