Match

Pontevedra vs Mirandes: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

PontevedraMirandes

The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontevedra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs Mirandes?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,968) and Mirandes (1,907).

43%28%29%
Pontevedra winDrawMirandes win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pontevedra vs Mirandes

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 17Alberto Gil
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 6I. Ivorra
  3. 14L. Macias
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 2A. Argos
  4. 20Rui Ferreira
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Mirandes

4-3-3
  1. 11Aitor Uzkudun
  2. 9I. Unzueta
  3. 10Nico Espinosa
  1. 16Markel Lozano
  2. 19Ricardo de Moraes
  3. 6A. Verde
  1. 22Martín Aguirregabiria
  2. 21Aritz Arambarri
  3. 3Hodei Arrillaga
  4. 8R. Martinez
  1. 1Jesús Ruiz

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mirandes have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Athletic Club II(home)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mirandes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Barakaldo(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Zamora(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Unión(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontevedra1.71.5310/1511/15
Mirandes1.11.155/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontevedra sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 7 matches) and Mirandes sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Mirandes8323101011
15Pontevedra72239108

A question about Pontevedra vs Mirandes?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Mirandes?
The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Mirandes.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs Mirandes played?
Pontevedra vs Mirandes is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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