Where and when is Pontevedra vs Mirandes played?

Pontevedra vs Mirandes is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pontevedra vs Mirandes: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

Pontevedra

Mirandes

The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs Mirandes?

Pontevedra starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,877).

Pontevedra win53 %

Draw26 %

Mirandes win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mirandes have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Coruxo(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Estradense(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Arosa(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Mirandes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	UD Logroñés(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	La Calzada(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Real Madrid II(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026	Atlético Madrid II(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pontevedra	1.9	1.3	4	9/15	11/15
Mirandes	1.3	1.5	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Pontevedra	38	14	16	8	49	31	58

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Mirandes?: The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Mirandes.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs Mirandes played?: Pontevedra vs Mirandes is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.