Argentinos JRS vs Tigre: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 11Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Argentinos JRS the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Tigre. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
Argentinos JRS starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentinos JRS have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Tigre have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing Club(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(home) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(away) | 3-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Argentinos JRS win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tigre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Tigre 1-1 Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Tigre 2-1 Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Argentinos JRS 1-0 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Argentinos JRS 0-2 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Tigre 0-1 Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Argentinos JRS 2-1 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Tigre vs Argentinos JRS on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Argentinos JRS score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tigre score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentinos JRS | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tigre | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Argentinos JRS sit 3rd in Liga Profesional Argentina (29 points from 16 matches) and Tigre sit 10th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
| 8 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
- The Footlab model makes Argentinos JRS the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Tigre.
- Where and when is Argentinos JRS vs Tigre played?
- Argentinos JRS vs Tigre is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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