Huracan vs Aldosivi: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 11Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Huracan the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Aldosivi. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huracan vs Aldosivi?
Huracan starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,744).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huracan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Aldosivi have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Lorenzo(away) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rosario Central(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Huracan win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Aldosivi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Aldosivi 0-0 Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Aldosivi 2-0 Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Huracan 3-3 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Aldosivi 0-1 Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Aldosivi 0-2 Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Huracan 2-0 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
How many goals should we expect?
Huracan score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aldosivi score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aldosivi | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huracan sit 7th in Liga Profesional Argentina (22 points from 16 matches) and Aldosivi sit 14th (8 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 8 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huracan vs Aldosivi?
- The Footlab model makes Huracan the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Aldosivi.
- Where and when is Huracan vs Aldosivi played?
- Huracan vs Aldosivi is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsPlatense
- Oct 4, 2026Defensa Y JusticiavsSan Lorenzo
- Oct 4, 2026BanfieldvsRosario Central
- Oct 4, 2026Estudiantes L.P.vsGimnasia M.
- Oct 4, 2026Boca JuniorsvsUnion Santa Fe
- Oct 4, 2026IndependientevsInstituto Cordoba
- Oct 4, 2026Atletico TucumanvsBarracas Central
- Oct 4, 2026Talleres CordobavsBelgrano Cordoba