Match

Arka Gdynia vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia

Arka GdyniaStal Mielec

The Footlab AI model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arka Gdynia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Stal Mielec?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,814) and Stal Mielec (1,744).

42%26%32%
Arka Gdynia winDrawStal Mielec win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Mielec

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arka Gdynia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Gutkovskis
  2. 17N. Dzięgielewski
  3. 71J. Kowalski
  1. 28M. Ambrosiewicz
  2. 16Kuba Solecki
  3. 11D. Kocyła
  1. 94D. Gojny
  2. 4M. Komenda
  3. 6K. Lipkowski
  4. 44J. Dominguez
  1. 33J. Grobelny

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 78K. Cybulski
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 7M. Cebula
  3. 18P. Wlazło
  4. 19T. Gmur
  5. 23K. Getinger
  1. 44Israel Puerto
  2. 14K. Kościelny
  3. 94B. Kwiecień
  4. 5H. Matynia
  1. 99M. Gostomski

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:59 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Mielec have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)3-1I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)0-0I Liga
Oct 29, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Nieciecza(home)3-1I Liga
Oct 18, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)1-2I Liga
Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 30, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)0-0I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-3I Liga
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Arka Gdynia score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arka Gdynia1.51.439/1510/15
Stal Mielec1.52.039/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arka Gdynia sit 12th in I Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 11th (19 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Stal Mielec14545192719
12Arka Gdynia14536191718

A question about Arka Gdynia vs Stal Mielec?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Mielec?
The Footlab AI model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Stal Mielec played?
Arka Gdynia vs Stal Mielec is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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