Warta Poznań vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Poznań vs Stal Rzeszów?
Warta Poznań starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,885 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Warta Poznań win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Warta Poznań 0-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 4-0 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Stal Rzeszów on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Stal Rzeszów?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Stal Rzeszów played?
- Warta Poznań vs Stal Rzeszów is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Miedz LegnicavsPogoń Siedlce
- May 29, 2027Arka GdyniavsStal Mielec
- May 29, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsLechia Gdansk
- May 29, 2027NiecieczavsPolonia Bytom
- May 29, 2027Odra OpolevsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 29, 2027PodbeskidzievsPolonia Warszawa
- May 29, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsRuch Chorzów
- May 29, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsUnia Skierniewice