Puszcza Niepołomice vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Ruch Chorzów?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836) and Ruch Chorzów (1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Ruch Chorzów 0-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Ruch Chorzów 0-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Ruch Chorzów on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Ruch Chorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ruch Chorzów.
- Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Ruch Chorzów played?
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Ruch Chorzów is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Miedz LegnicavsPogoń Siedlce
- May 29, 2027Arka GdyniavsStal Mielec
- May 29, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsLechia Gdansk
- May 29, 2027NiecieczavsPolonia Bytom
- May 29, 2027Odra OpolevsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 29, 2027PodbeskidzievsPolonia Warszawa
- May 29, 2027Warta PoznańvsStal Rzeszów
- May 29, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsUnia Skierniewice