Match

Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała

PodbeskidziePolonia Warszawa

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Polonia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,953) and Polonia Warszawa (1,887).

Podbeskidzie win49 %
Draw25 %
Polonia Warszawa win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podbeskidzie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Opole(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-0Cup
Aug 2, 2026Stal Mielec(away)3-3I Liga
Polonia Warszawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nieciecza(away)3-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)3-1I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Podbeskidzie win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Polonia Warszawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 14, 2024Podbeskidzie 1-2 Polonia WarszawaI Liga
Sep 29, 2023Polonia Warszawa 2-0 PodbeskidzieI Liga

Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa on Apr 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Podbeskidzie1.81.1312/158/15
Polonia Warszawa1.51.7110/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Polonia Warszawa53118410
13Podbeskidzie5050885

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa?
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Polonia Warszawa.
Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa played?
Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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