Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Polonia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,953) and Polonia Warszawa (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Podbeskidzie win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Polonia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Podbeskidzie 1-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Polonia Warszawa 2-0 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa on Apr 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Polonia Warszawa.
- Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa played?
- Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Miedz LegnicavsPogoń Siedlce
- May 29, 2027Arka GdyniavsStal Mielec
- May 29, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsLechia Gdansk
- May 29, 2027NiecieczavsPolonia Bytom
- May 29, 2027Odra OpolevsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 29, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsRuch Chorzów
- May 29, 2027Warta PoznańvsStal Rzeszów
- May 29, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsUnia Skierniewice