Match

Odra Opole vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Itaka Arena, Opole

Odra OpolePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Odra Opole vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Odra Opole (1,804) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,836).

Odra Opole win39 %
Draw28 %
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Opole have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Odra Opole
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Podbeskidzie(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Warta Poznań(home)3-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-3I Liga
Aug 3, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-0I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)0-1I Liga
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)2-2I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(home)1-0I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Odra Opole win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 11, 2026Odra Opole 3-1 Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga
Nov 3, 2025Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2-1 Odra OpoleI Liga

Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on May 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Odra Opole1.11.257/156/15
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1.11.268/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Odra Opole sit 9th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki53208311
9Odra Opole5212667

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Odra Opole vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Odra Opole vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?
Odra Opole vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Itaka Arena, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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