Match

Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza

NiecieczaPolonia Bytom

The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,872) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).

Nieciecza win45 %
Draw25 %
Polonia Bytom win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nieciecza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-3I Liga
Aug 16, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Warta Poznań(home)1-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)2-1I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Nea Salamis(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec(away)2-5I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Warta Poznań(home)4-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Nieciecza win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Polonia Bytom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2025Nieciecza 2-0 Polonia BytomFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom on Feb 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nieciecza2.11.6410/1510/15
Polonia Bytom2.12.3213/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Nieciecza5203786
15Polonia Bytom512211145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom?
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom played?
Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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