Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,872) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Nieciecza win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Polonia Bytom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | Nieciecza 2-0 Polonia Bytom | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom on Feb 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom?
- The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom played?
- Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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