Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica

Miedz Legnica

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Miedz Legnica starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,759).

Miedz Legnica win56 %

Draw25 %

Pogoń Siedlce win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedz Legnica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Miedz Legnica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	2-0	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Miedz Legnica win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 2-0 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Oct 17, 2025	Miedz Legnica 2-2 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Sep 24, 2025	Miedz Legnica 2-0 Pogoń Siedlce	Cup
May 10, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 3-0 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Nov 3, 2024	Miedz Legnica 4-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Miedz Legnica	1.3	1.1	6	6/15	7/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Miedz Legnica sit 2nd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Miedz Legnica	5	3	1	1	8	2	10
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.