Energie Cottbus vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Energie Cottbus vs Hertha BSC?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,980) and Hertha BSC (2,042).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hertha BSC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 3-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 4-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Energie Cottbus win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hertha BSC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2024 | Energie Cottbus 2-2 Hertha BSC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Energie Cottbus 1-5 Hertha BSC | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2013 | Hertha BSC 1-1 Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 3, 2012 | Energie Cottbus 1-2 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Energie Cottbus vs Hertha BSC on Jul 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hertha BSC | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs Hertha BSC?
- The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hertha BSC.
- Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs Hertha BSC played?
- Energie Cottbus vs Hertha BSC is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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