1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Fritz-Walter-Stadion, Kaiserslautern
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,997) and Dynamo Dresden (2,024).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 1-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-1 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Dynamo Dresden 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2022 | Dynamo Dresden 0-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 20, 2022 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Dynamo Dresden 4-3 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
- Where and when is 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden played?
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Fritz-Walter-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026VfL WolfsburgvsHolstein Kiel
- Nov 21, 2026Hannover 96vsSpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Nov 21, 20261. FC NürnbergvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Nov 21, 2026SV Darmstadt 98vs1. FC Heidenheim
- Nov 21, 2026FC St. PaulivsVfL Bochum
- Nov 21, 2026Arminia Bielefeldvs1. FC Magdeburg
- Nov 21, 2026Karlsruher SCvsVfL Osnabrück
- Nov 21, 2026Energie CottbusvsHertha BSC