Arosa vs Eibar II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arosa vs Eibar II?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Arosa (1,808) and Eibar II (1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arosa vs Eibar II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Eibar II
Not enough data to predict the Eibar II lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Eibar II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar II score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Eibar II | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arosa sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (4 points from 6 matches) and Eibar II sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 | Arosa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Arosa vs Eibar II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Eibar II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Arosa vs Eibar II played?
- Arosa vs Eibar II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026GernikavsRacing Santander II
- Nov 22, 2026Gimnástica TorrelavegavsPortugalete
- Nov 22, 2026BergantiñosvsBasconia
- Nov 22, 2026Marino de LuancovsCoruxo
- Nov 22, 2026Sestao RivervsAmorebieta
- Nov 22, 2026Real Oviedo IIvsReal Madrid III
- Nov 22, 2026Deportivo Alavés IIvsCompostela
- Nov 22, 2026LlaneravsOurense CF