Where and when is Arosa vs Eibar II played?

Arosa vs Eibar II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arosa vs Eibar II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa

Arosa

Eibar II

The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Eibar II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arosa vs Eibar II?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Arosa (1,903) and Eibar II (1,887).

Arosa win45 %

Draw27 %

Eibar II win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Eibar II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arosa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Celtiga(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Cambados(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Boiro(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Barco(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Eibar II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Náxara(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Ejea(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Ebro(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026	Utebo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026	UD Logroñés(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arosa	1.7	0.8	7	7/15	5/15
Eibar II	1.5	1.4	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Eibar II?: The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Eibar II.
Where and when is Arosa vs Eibar II played?: Arosa vs Eibar II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.