Where and when is Sestao River vs Amorebieta played?

Sestao River vs Amorebieta is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sestao River vs Amorebieta: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao

Sestao River

Amorebieta

The Footlab model makes Sestao River the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sestao River vs Amorebieta?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Sestao River (1,892) and Amorebieta (1,895).

Sestao River win36 %

Draw30 %

Amorebieta win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Amorebieta have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sestao River
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Athletic Club(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Utebo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Amorebieta(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Amorebieta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Mutilvera(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sestao River(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Gernika(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sestao River win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Amorebieta win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Amorebieta 1-1 Sestao River	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Jan 4, 2026	Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Feb 22, 2025	Sestao River 1-0 Amorebieta	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 30, 2024	Amorebieta 2-0 Sestao River	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Jul 29, 2023	Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 20, 2022	Amorebieta 1-1 Sestao River	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Amorebieta vs Sestao River on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sestao River score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sestao River	1.0	1.2	3	9/15	5/15
Amorebieta	1.2	0.8	8	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Amorebieta?: The Footlab model makes Sestao River the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Amorebieta.
Where and when is Sestao River vs Amorebieta played?: Sestao River vs Amorebieta is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.