Sestao River vs Amorebieta: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestao River wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sestao River vs Amorebieta?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Sestao River (1,959) and Amorebieta (1,896).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sestao River vs Amorebieta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sestao River
Not enough data to predict the Sestao River lineup.
Amorebieta
Not enough data to predict the Amorebieta lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Amorebieta have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 4-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sestao River win, 2 draws, 3 Amorebieta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Amorebieta 1-1 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sestao River 1-0 Amorebieta | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Amorebieta 2-0 Sestao River | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Amorebieta 1-1 Sestao River | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Amorebieta vs Sestao River on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sestao River score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestao River | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Amorebieta | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sestao River sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Amorebieta sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sestao River | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Amorebieta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Sestao River vs Amorebieta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Amorebieta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Amorebieta.
- Where and when is Sestao River vs Amorebieta played?
- Sestao River vs Amorebieta is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026GernikavsRacing Santander II
- Nov 22, 2026Gimnástica TorrelavegavsPortugalete
- Nov 22, 2026BergantiñosvsBasconia
- Nov 22, 2026Marino de LuancovsCoruxo
- Nov 22, 2026Real Oviedo IIvsReal Madrid III
- Nov 22, 2026Deportivo Alavés IIvsCompostela
- Nov 22, 2026ArosavsEibar II
- Nov 22, 2026LlaneravsOurense CF