Where and when is Llanera vs Ourense CF played?

Llanera vs Ourense CF is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Llanera vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera

Llanera

Ourense CF

The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llanera vs Ourense CF?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Llanera (1,999) and Ourense CF (1,906).

Llanera win53 %

Draw26 %

Ourense CF win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Ourense CF have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llanera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Avilés Stadium(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Avilés Stadium(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Tuilla(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026	Real Titánico(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

Ourense CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lugo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Pontevedra(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Tenerife(home)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	CF Talavera(away)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(home)	2-4	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Llanera	1.9	0.4	11	4/15	7/15
Ourense CF	1.1	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Ourense CF?: The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Ourense CF.
Where and when is Llanera vs Ourense CF played?: Llanera vs Ourense CF is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.