Gernika vs Racing Santander II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Urbieta, Gernika-Lumo
The Footlab model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gernika vs Racing Santander II?
Racing Santander II starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,837).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gernika have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Racing Santander II have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gernika win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Racing Santander II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | Gernika 1-1 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Racing Santander II 0-0 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gernika vs Racing Santander II on Apr 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Gernika score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander II score 2.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gernika | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Racing Santander II | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Racing Santander II | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63 | 50 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gernika vs Racing Santander II?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Gernika.
- Where and when is Gernika vs Racing Santander II played?
- Gernika vs Racing Santander II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Urbieta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.