Gernika vs Racing Santander II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Urbieta, Gernika-Lumo
The Footlab AI model makes Gernika the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Racing Santander II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gernika wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,709 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gernika vs Racing Santander II?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gernika (1,860) and Racing Santander II (1,908).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gernika vs Racing Santander II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Racing Santander II
Not enough data to predict the Racing Santander II lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 10:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gernika have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Racing Santander II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gernika wins, 2 draws, 0 Racing Santander II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | Gernika 1-1 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Racing Santander II 0-0 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gernika vs Racing Santander II on Apr 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Gernika score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander II score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gernika | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Racing Santander II | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gernika sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 9 matches) and Racing Santander II sit 14th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gernika | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 11 |
| 14 | Racing Santander II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Gernika vs Racing Santander II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gernika vs Racing Santander II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gernika the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Racing Santander II.
- Where and when is Gernika vs Racing Santander II played?
- Gernika vs Racing Santander II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Urbieta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.