Marino de Luanco vs Coruxo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco
The Footlab model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Coruxo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Coruxo?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Marino de Luanco (1,875) and Coruxo (1,897).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Coruxo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marino de Luanco win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Coruxo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Coruxo 1-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Marino de Luanco 1-2 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Coruxo 1-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Marino de Luanco 1-0 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Marino de Luanco 0-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Coruxo 2-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Coruxo vs Marino de Luanco on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Coruxo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino de Luanco sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (45 points from 34 matches) and Coruxo sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Coruxo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 52 |
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Coruxo?
- The Footlab model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Coruxo.
- Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Coruxo played?
- Marino de Luanco vs Coruxo is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026GernikavsRacing Santander II
- Nov 22, 2026Gimnástica TorrelavegavsPortugalete
- Nov 22, 2026BergantiñosvsBasconia
- Nov 22, 2026Sestao RivervsAmorebieta
- Nov 22, 2026Real Oviedo IIvsReal Madrid III
- Nov 22, 2026Deportivo Alavés IIvsCompostela
- Nov 22, 2026ArosavsEibar II
- Nov 22, 2026LlaneravsOurense CF