Bergantiños vs Arosa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo
The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bergantiños wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Arosa?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,954) and Arosa (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bergantiños vs Arosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bergantiños
Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Arosa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(away) | 0-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bergantiños wins, 3 draws, 0 Arosa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa 2-2 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Bergantiños 0-0 Arosa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Arosa 1-3 Bergantiños | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 15, 2022 | Arosa 1-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Bergantiños 2-1 Arosa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2021 | Bergantiños 2-1 Arosa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bergantiños score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergantiños | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Arosa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bergantiños sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (14 points from 6 matches) and Arosa sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 | Arosa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Bergantiños vs Arosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Arosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Bergantiños vs Arosa played?
- Bergantiños vs Arosa is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 31, 2027Sestao RivervsGernika
- Jan 31, 2027LlaneravsCoruxo
- Jan 31, 2027BasconiavsOurense CF
- Jan 31, 2027Eibar IIvsDeportivo Alavés II