Where and when is Bergantiños vs Arosa played?

Bergantiños vs Arosa is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bergantiños vs Arosa: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo

Bergantiños

Arosa

The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bergantiños vs Arosa?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,882) and Arosa (1,903).

Bergantiños win40 %

Draw28 %

Arosa win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arosa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bergantiños
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Sámano(away)	5-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	UD Ourense(home)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Real Oviedo II(away)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Sarriana(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	4-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Arosa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Celtiga(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Cambados(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Boiro(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Barco(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bergantiños win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arosa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 7, 2024	Bergantiños 0-0 Arosa	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 19, 2023	Arosa 1-3 Bergantiños	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 15, 2022	Arosa 1-1 Bergantiños	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 8, 2022	Bergantiños 2-1 Arosa	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2021	Bergantiños 2-1 Arosa	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 11, 2021	Arosa 3-1 Bergantiños	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Bergantiños vs Arosa on Apr 7, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bergantiños	1.5	1.4	4	6/15	8/15
Arosa	1.7	0.8	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Bergantiños	34	13	9	12	44	37	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Arosa?: The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Arosa.
Where and when is Bergantiños vs Arosa played?: Bergantiños vs Arosa is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.