Arouca vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Arouca. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Braga wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arouca vs SC Braga?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,321 vs 2,156).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arouca vs SC Braga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arouca
4-2-3-1- 17Barbero
- 7N. Djouahra
- 19A. Trezza
- 8T. Fukui
- 6E. van Ee
- 10Pablo Gozálbez
- 28Tiago Esgaio
- 3José Fontán
- 18O. Lebedenko
- 15Javi Sánchez
- 12I. de Arruabarrena
SC Braga
3-4-3- 10Pau Victor
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 11Gabriel Silva
- 8João Moutinho
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 29J. Gorby
- 23D. Huseinbašić
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 44A. Bajrami
- 22Sergio Barcia
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; SC Braga have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arouca win, 0 draws, 5 SC Braga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | SC Braga 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Arouca 0-4 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | SC Braga 2-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Arouca 1-2 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | SC Braga 0-3 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Arouca 0-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and SC Braga sit 9th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Arouca vs SC Braga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arouca vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Arouca.
- Where and when is Arouca vs SC Braga played?
- Arouca vs SC Braga is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.