Maritimo vs Sporting CP: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Marítimo, Ilha da Madeira
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Maritimo. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maritimo vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,496 Elo points against 2,062, a 434-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maritimo vs Sporting CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maritimo
4-2-3-1- 17Adrián Butzke
- 14Raphael Guzzo
- 10Martín Tejón
- 8M. Dominguez
- 18V. Danilović
- 6Rodrigo Andrade
- 2Igor Julião
- 23Paulo Henrique
- 44Romain Correia
- 22G. Szalai
- 30Fran Vieites
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 10Geny Catamo
- 19N. Irankunda
- 97L. Suárez
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 4S. Andersen
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 20M. Araújo
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 1Rui Silva
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maritimo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting CP have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maritimo win, 1 draw, 4 Sporting CP wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | Sporting CP 2-1 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Maritimo 1-0 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Sporting CP 5-0 Maritimo | Taça da Liga |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Maritimo 1-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Sporting CP 1-0 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| May 19, 2021 | Sporting CP 5-1 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs Maritimo on May 13, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Maritimo score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting CP | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maritimo sit 11th in Primeira Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Sporting CP sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 18 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Maritimo vs Sporting CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maritimo vs Sporting CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Maritimo.
- Where and when is Maritimo vs Sporting CP played?
- Maritimo vs Sporting CP is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Marítimo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.