Brentford vs Arsenal: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Brentford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentford vs Arsenal?
Arsenal starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (2,353 vs 2,133).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brentford vs Arsenal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 27V. Janelt
- 18M. Sangaré
- 11D. Ouattara
- 7K. Schade
- 33Michael Kayode
- 20K. Ajer
- 4S. van den Berg
- 2A. Hickey
- 1C. Kelleher
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 29K. Havertz
- 41D. Rice
- 20N. Madueke
- 8M. Ødegaard
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 17C. Tzolis
- 15E. Konsa
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 33R. Calafiori
- 12J. Timber
- 1David Raya
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 12:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Arsenal have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Brentford wins, 2 draws, 4 Arsenal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Brentford 1-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Arsenal 2-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Arsenal 1-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Brentford 1-3 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Arsenal 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Brentford 0-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Arsenal | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentford sit 8th in Premier League (14 points from 10 matches) and Arsenal sit 1st (27 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 27 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Brentford vs Arsenal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Arsenal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Brentford.
- Where and when is Brentford vs Arsenal played?
- Brentford vs Arsenal is played on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Gtech Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.