Artsul vs Nova Cidade: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, Nova Iguaçu, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Artsul the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Nova Cidade. The most likely score is 1-1. If Artsul wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artsul vs Nova Cidade?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Artsul (1,488) and Nova Cidade (1,432).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Artsul vs Nova Cidade
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Artsul
Not enough data to predict the Artsul lineup.
Nova Cidade
Not enough data to predict the Nova Cidade lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artsul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Nova Cidade have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Petrópolis(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Serrano RJ(home) | 3-4 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Macaé(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carapebus(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Campo Grande(home) | 3-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Campo Grande(home) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Audax Rio(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Niteroiense(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 2-2 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Artsul wins, 3 draws, 1 Nova Cidade win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nova Cidade 0-0 Artsul | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Artsul 1-1 Nova Cidade | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Nova Cidade 1-0 Artsul | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Artsul 0-0 Nova Cidade | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nova Cidade vs Artsul on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Artsul score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nova Cidade score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artsul | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nova Cidade | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Artsul sit 6th in Carioca - 2 (9 points from 6 matches) and Nova Cidade sit 10th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Artsul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Artsul vs Nova Cidade?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artsul vs Nova Cidade?
- The Footlab AI model makes Artsul the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Nova Cidade.
- Where and when is Artsul vs Nova Cidade played?
- Artsul vs Nova Cidade is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.