Artsul vs Nova Cidade: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, Nova Iguaçu, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Artsul the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Nova Cidade. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artsul vs Nova Cidade?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Artsul (1,605) and Nova Cidade (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artsul have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Nova Cidade have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Serrano RJ(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 3-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Friburguense(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Campo Grande(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 2-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Bonsucesso(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Artsul(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Artsul win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nova Cidade win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nova Cidade 0-0 Artsul | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Artsul 1-1 Nova Cidade | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Nova Cidade 1-0 Artsul | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Artsul 0-0 Nova Cidade | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nova Cidade vs Artsul on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Artsul score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nova Cidade score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artsul | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Nova Cidade | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Artsul sit 9th in Carioca - 2 (13 points from 11 matches) and Nova Cidade sit 7th (16 points from 11 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nova Cidade | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artsul vs Nova Cidade?
- The Footlab model makes Artsul the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Nova Cidade.
- Where and when is Artsul vs Nova Cidade played?
- Artsul vs Nova Cidade is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.