Nova Cidade vs Macaé: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim de Almeida Flores, Nilópolis, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Nova Cidade the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Macaé. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nova Cidade wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,343 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nova Cidade vs Macaé?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Nova Cidade (1,432) and Macaé (1,426).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nova Cidade vs Macaé
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nova Cidade
Not enough data to predict the Nova Cidade lineup.
Macaé
4-3-3- WWallacer
- EEdy
- BBruno Kiper
- JJúnior Araújo de Souza
- RRonan Borges Meneses
- GGuilherme
- ÁÁlvaro Acevedo Fagúndez Suárez
- RRossales
- HHeltton
- DDante
- RRicardo Luiz Lima de Souza
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nova Cidade have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Macaé have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Campo Grande(home) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Audax Rio(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Niteroiense(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 2-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Serrano RJ(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Carapebus(home) | 4-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Artsul(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Campo Grande(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Audax Rio(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Nova Cidade win, 0 draws, 0 Macaé wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2023 | Macaé 0-1 Nova Cidade | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nova Cidade score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Macaé score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Cidade | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Macaé | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nova Cidade sit 10th in Carioca - 2 (5 points from 6 matches) and Macaé sit 8th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Macaé | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Nova Cidade vs Macaé?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nova Cidade vs Macaé?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nova Cidade the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Macaé.
- Where and when is Nova Cidade vs Macaé played?
- Nova Cidade vs Macaé is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Joaquim de Almeida Flores, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.