ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan
The Footlab model makes ASEC Mimosas the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for ASC Kara. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara?
ASEC Mimosas starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASEC Mimosas have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; ASC Kara have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Olympique Sport d'Abobo(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Zoman(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | San-Pédro(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ISCA(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Renaissance Berkane(away) | 1-3 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Renaissance Berkane(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Gbohloé-su des Lacs(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Entente II(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| May 25, 2025 | Unisport(away) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ASEC Mimosas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 ASC Kara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | ASEC Mimosas 2-0 ASC Kara | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 15, 2024 | ASC Kara 2-1 ASEC Mimosas | CAF Confederation Cup |
Last archived meeting: ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara on Sep 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
ASEC Mimosas score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Kara score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASEC Mimosas | 1.4 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| ASC Kara | 1.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara?
- The Footlab model makes ASEC Mimosas the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for ASC Kara.
- Where and when is ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara played?
- ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Champroux, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.