Manchester United vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Old Trafford, Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Everton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester United vs Everton?
On Elo ratings, Manchester United has 2,132 points and Everton 2,111.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manchester United vs Everton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manchester United
4-2-3-1- 19B. Mbeumo
- 16A. Diallo
- 20C. Baleba
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 17Andrey Santos
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 5H. Maguire
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 15Leny Yoro
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 1S. Lammens
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 37James Garner
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 45H. Armstrong
- 34M. Röhl
- 19Tyrique George
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 16V. Mykolenko
- 15J. O'Brien
- 4Jarrad Branthwaite
- 1J. Pickford
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Everton have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Manchester United wins, 3 draws, 1 Everton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Everton 2-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Everton 0-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Manchester United 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Manchester United 2-2 Everton | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Everton 2-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Manchester United 4-0 Everton | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Everton vs Manchester United on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester United score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Everton | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester United sit 17th in Premier League (7 points from 9 matches) and Everton sit 7th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Manchester United vs Everton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester United vs Everton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Everton.
- Where and when is Manchester United vs Everton played?
- Manchester United vs Everton is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.