Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Aston Villa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nottingham Forest wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?
On Elo ratings, Nottingham Forest has 2,150 points and Aston Villa 2,273.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 14D. Ndoye
- 21X. Schlager
- 24J. McAtee
- 27D. Muñoz
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 23Jair
- 26M. Sels
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 10E. Buendía
- 44J. Manzambi
- 35João Gomes
- 7J. McGinn
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 5T. Mings
- 2M. Cash
- 29A. Wan-Bissaka
- 1Z. Suzuki
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Aston Villa have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nottingham Forest wins, 1 draw, 3 Aston Villa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| May 7, 2026 | Aston Villa 4-0 Nottingham Forest | UEFA Europa League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 1-0 Aston Villa | UEFA Europa League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Aston Villa 2-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 18th in Premier League (5 points from 7 matches) and Aston Villa sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Aston Villa.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.