Atalanta vs Venezia: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Venezia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atalanta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atalanta vs Venezia?
Atalanta starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (2,113 vs 1,972).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atalanta vs Venezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atalanta
4-3-3- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 11J. Rowe
- 9G. Scamacca
- 13Éderson
- 10L. Samardžić
- 19F. Kessié
- 42G. Scalvini
- 16R. Bellanova
- 3O. Kossounou
- 23S. Kolašinac
- 29M. Carnesecchi
Venezia
3-5-2- 45A. Adams
- 10J. Yeboah
- 71Kike Pérez
- 18A. Hainaut
- 19S. Sohm
- 6G. Busio
- 14Thierry Correia
- 3J. Schingtienne
- 2M. Moreno
- 5R. Haps
- 1F. Stanković
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atalanta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Venezia have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 28, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Atalanta wins, 1 draw, 0 Venezia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Atalanta 0-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Venezia 0-2 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Venezia 1-3 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Jan 12, 2022 | Atalanta 2-0 Venezia | Coppa Italia |
| Nov 30, 2021 | Atalanta 4-0 Venezia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atalanta score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Venezia score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Venezia | 2.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atalanta sit 11th in Serie A (6 points from 5 matches) and Venezia sit 20th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
A question about Atalanta vs Venezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atalanta vs Venezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Venezia.
- Where and when is Atalanta vs Venezia played?
- Atalanta vs Venezia is played on October 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Gewiss Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.