Cagliari vs Juventus: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Unipol Domus, Cagliari
The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Cagliari. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cagliari vs Juventus?
Juventus starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,173 vs 1,982).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cagliari vs Juventus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cagliari
5-3-2- 31P. Mendy
- 70D. Maldini
- 6H. Winks
- 14A. Deiola
- 4A. Romano
- 15J. Rodríguez
- 8M. Adopo
- 33A. Obert
- 2Zé Pedro
- 26Y. Mina
- 1E. Caprile
Known absences
M'Bala NzolaOut · Fitness
Riyad IdrissiOut · Knee injury- Y. TrepyOut · Wound
Juventus
3-4-2-1- 9R. Kolo Muani
- 12Douglas Luiz
- 2Z. Çelik
- 22W. McKennie
- 31N. González
- 49G. Makiobo
- 8T. Koopmeiners
- 3Bremer
- 15P. Kalulu
- 26J. Lucumí
- 25G. Vicario
Known absences
J. BogaOut · Muscle injury
J. CabalOut · Thigh injury
J. EkhatorOut · Muscle injury
K. GrabaraOut · Knee injury
K. ThuramOut · Knee injury
K. YıldızOut · Foot injury- M. LocatelliOut · Knee injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cagliari have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Juventus have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cagliari win, 2 draws, 3 Juventus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Cagliari 1-0 Juventus | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Juventus 2-1 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Cagliari 0-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Juventus 4-0 Cagliari | Coppa Italia |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Juventus 1-1 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Cagliari 2-2 Juventus | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cagliari score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Juventus score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Juventus | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cagliari sit 4th in Serie A (12 points from 5 matches) and Juventus sit 7th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
A question about Cagliari vs Juventus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Juventus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Cagliari.
- Where and when is Cagliari vs Juventus played?
- Cagliari vs Juventus is played on October 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Unipol Domus, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.