Napoli vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Napoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Napoli vs Frosinone?
On Elo ratings, Napoli has 2,147 points and Frosinone 2,057.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Napoli vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Napoli
4-2-3-1- 19R. Højlund
- 21M. Politano
- 68S. Lobotka
- 6B. Gilmour
- 11K. De Bruyne
- 70N. Lang
- 13Amir Rrahmani
- 22G. Di Lorenzo
- 16Rafa Marín
- 17M. Olivera
- 32V. Milinković-Savić
Known absences
A. BuongiornoOut · Knee injury- A. VergaraOut · Calf injury
- C. FavasuliOut · Thigh injury
- A. MeretDoubtful · Muscle injury
A. Zambo AnguissaDoubtful · Groin injury
Alisson SantosDoubtful · Muscle injury- GiovaneDoubtful · Groin injury
- L. SpinazzolaDoubtful · Muscle injury
- Luca MarianucciDoubtful · Knee injury
S. McTominayDoubtful · Illness
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 10R. Schmid
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 3G. Calvani
- 20A. Oyono
- 30I. Monterisi
- 22L. Palmisani
Known absences
D. BîrligeaOut · Muscle injury
F. GrillitschOut · Thigh injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napoli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Frosinone have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inter(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Como(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Napoli wins, 1 draw, 1 Frosinone win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Napoli 2-2 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Napoli 0-4 Frosinone | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Frosinone 1-3 Napoli | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Frosinone 0-2 Napoli | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Napoli 4-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| May 14, 2016 | Napoli 4-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Napoli score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Frosinone | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Napoli sit 9th in Serie A (7 points from 5 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Napoli vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Napoli vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Napoli vs Frosinone played?
- Napoli vs Frosinone is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.